Stock Market Education
Excerpts from TechniTrader®
Long Term Portfolio Discussion
This weekly newsletter publication provides valuable information on new technology and companies coming to market. Martha Stokes, C.M.T. says "Nothing is more powerful than a growing company with smart people that are shaping the future. These young firms can partner with the big blue chips and take technologies of the future to market." The LTD is about stocks for retirement portfolios or other long term investing. Excerpts from this publication are shared in this blog.
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November 22, 2009
"Industry Report:
It is time to check on the Sectors and Industry Charts to see what 2010 will bring for both long term and short term.
We begin by studying each of the major Industry Charts. These are the top 30 industries currently classified in the markets. I expect that these will change to some extent in the next decade.
Chemicals has a vertical collapse which rebounded after hitting support from the 99-2003 sideways trading range. This industry has run speculatively upward and is poised for a correction during 2010. It has already tipped to a sideways pattern.

Conglomerates are a small industry with only a few stocks. This pattern is your traditional long term inverted aka bottoming head and shoulders pattern and is text book perfect. A sideways action for a period of time is to be expected so flat to sideways trading range action for this industry in 2010.

Consumer Durables Industry has hit low resistance from the trading range action of 99-2003 and is correcting at this time. This pattern is likely to continue a trading range until the labor market improves. Lower volume on the rise up and high volume on the decline suggest this correction could be shorter term but a sideways pattern due to weak volume to the upside may occur after the correction concludes.
Automotive has very high volume to the upside after an extremely deep W bottom completed. However it has plenty of resistance from the 1997-2003 trading range highs to over come.

Food and Beverage Industry fairs well during a recession because of the necessity of the products. It did not have as steep a decline and has rebounded quickly to the previous highs of 2006-2007 but growth for this industry will be slack and sideways action is likely. Volume suggests this is a weaker move up that could easily have a correction in early 2010..." Martha Stokes, C.M.T.
Member of Market Technicians Association
Senior Technical Analyst: Decisions Unlimited, Inc.
Instructor and Developer of TechniTrader® Stock Market Courses
Martha Stokes, C.M.T. (c) copyright 2009 all rights reserved.
Disclaimer: All statements, whether expressed verbally or in writing are the opinions of TechniTrader®, its instructors and or employees, and are not to be construed as anything more than an opinion. Student/subscribers are responsible for making their own choices and decisions regarding all purchases or sales of stocks or issues. At no time is any stock or issue on any list written or sent to a student/subscriber by TechniTrader® and its employees to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any stock or issue. TechniTrader® is not a broker or an investment advisor it is strictly an educational service.
November 6, 2009
"Alternative Energy is definitely going to become an important new technology to follow for long term investments but energy is not the only thing that will come from research being done in this area.
Cereplast (OTCBB CERP) is a small company that is working to produce bio-based renewable, bio-degradable plastics.
Petroleum based plastics have been around for decades now and are not environmentally friendly either to produce, the by-products, or as the breakdown in landfills. Also petroleum based plastics have been linked to many cancers and other autoimmune diseases although absolute proof has not been scientifically established that would ban the use of petroleum in plastics.
Modern man consumes a lot of petroleum based plastic when consuming packaged foods. It has been proven that microwaving food in plastic containers breaks down chemicals that are left in the food. Nature never intended humans to eat petroleum.
Cereplast is developing plastics that come from organic products such as algae which can be grown in abundance rather cheaply nowadays and has similar properties to petroleum. The upside is natural plastic is bio-degradable and safer not only for the environment but for humans who are obsessed with consumer fast food heated in plastic from a microwave.
The breakthrough technology using algae based resins to create plastic could eventually totally replace petroleum based plastics. Algae have proven to be more stable and reliable than corn and other similar products in creating a sturdy plastic that is similar to petroleum plastic.
Algae is a product I have discussed as a possible bio-fuel but it appears from this most recent research that it may well have even more impact in the plastics industry.
Exxon is investing 600 million in Genomics and BP is investing in Martek Biosciences, both companies are involved in algae feedstock.
Algae based plastics can be used in extruded plastic, injection molding, blow molding and are competitively priced to petroleum based plastics. These plastics are essentially one time use plastics that need to be fully bio-degradable. So the products produced are just about anything you would use to eat with or hold food in..." Martha Stokes, C.M.T.
Member of Market Technicians Association
Senior Technical Analyst: Decisions Unlimited, Inc.
Instructor and Developer of TechniTrader® Stock Market Courses
Martha Stokes, C.M.T. (c) copyright 2009 all rights reserved.
Disclaimer: All statements, whether expressed verbally or in writing are the opinions of TechniTrader®, its instructors and or employees, and are not to be construed as anything more than an opinion. Student/subscribers are responsible for making their own choices and decisions regarding all purchases or sales of stocks or issues. At no time is any stock or issue on any list written or sent to a student/subscriber by TechniTrader® and its employees to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any stock or issue. TechniTrader® is not a broker or an investment advisor it is strictly an educational service.
October 30, 2009
"I was asked how you find out which companies GE is investing in for alternative energy. This is an excellent question since GE is the #1 Venture Capital company for alternative energy at this time.
You can go to Press Releases and News on the GE websites, stay tuned to any news related item for GE and simply monitor small alternative energy firms themselves for partnerships. There is no magic bullet to finding this stuff, just some good detective work. There isn’t a list anywhere. This is part of the research a good investor does and enjoys doing.
But I also want to remind you that long term investing is a PROCESS. I am writing a book called:
“If You are a Long Term Investor, Why do You Buy Stocks Like a DayTrader?”
Too often I find that investors rush out to buy stocks without thoroughly understanding what they are buying and why they are buying. Self-made wealthy people do not rush their investment decisions; they take time to evaluate every single decision.
We are entering a stage where many stocks will retrace or correct providing new better risk entries for long term. But just because GE invests in a firm doesn’t mean it is a sure thing. Venture Capital figures that if they get 1 out of 10 start-ups to be a big winner, they are doing well.
Take your time evaluating your long term selections. Realize that you may be watching a stock for several years before you actually buy it. Getting to know the little firm intimately is important because you can learn to recognize the winners from the losers.
Little firms are plagued by many problems:
1. Not enough capital to do R&D
2. Arguments among owners and partners
3. Disagreements with inventors or scientists
4. Road blocks in technological setbacks
The single biggest reason a small company fails to grow falls on management. There may be too many original owners. Often inventors or scientists are buddies and decide to go into business only to find they can’t agree on anything.
Or they just don’t get marketing. You can have the best product or service in the world and not achieve dominance in the market. Marketing, promotions, and merchandising are essential.
Or the small firm under prices itself to compete and ends up not making any money. For those of you who have always been employees and consumers, freebies and discounts and no interest payments etc seem so fantastic but ultimately they can destroy a company.
Companies need to make very high profit margins to succeed because there are so many unseen costs.
Service is huge and can wipe out a company if there is a low margin. Consumers always complain about service from firms but are upset when a company charges sufficiently to pay for good service.
Right now what will be the big difference between those companies that succeed and those who go under next year is profit margins..." Martha Stokes, C.M.T.
Member of Market Technicians Association
Senior Technical Analyst: Decisions Unlimited, Inc.
Instructor and Developer of TechniTrader® Stock Market Courses
Martha Stokes, C.M.T. (c) copyright 2009 all rights reserved.
Disclaimer: All statements, whether expressed verbally or in writing are the opinions of TechniTrader®, its instructors and or employees, and are not to be construed as anything more than an opinion. Student/subscribers are responsible for making their own choices and decisions regarding all purchases or sales of stocks or issues. At no time is any stock or issue on any list written or sent to a student/subscriber by TechniTrader® and its employees to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any stock or issue. TechniTrader® is not a broker or an investment advisor it is strictly an educational service.



